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Interactive TV

Trade Reports by Ken Freed

Interactive television is a reality. Here's the story.

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MEDIA
VISIONS

Journal
Interactive TV
for Newbies
by Ken Freed.
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A primer on the bundle of digital services
together being called interactive television.
 

In arguing the business case for interactive television, the key question has always been -- which comes first, the digital broadband networks to carry the interactive TV content, or the interactive content that justifies building the networks? This chiken and egg debate is now moot.

Digital TV networks are here and online. TV programmers are now playing catch-up to feed the widening maw of that growing bird called public demand for interactive TV (iTV).

Any programmer savvy enough to enter the iTV game early deserves a basic primer. Offered here is a condensed crash course.
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The iTV Bundle

The form of the iTV content produced will vary with the bias of your iTV definition. How we perceive the world decides how we interact with it, and proprietary "solutions" are common in the iTV market. If we only have a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.

As an open definition of interactive television, therefore, think of iTV as an entire bundle of activities, not any one specific thing. Broken down into major categories, here are the main types of iTV content and services:

Enhanced TV -- Any type of programming can be enhanced with icon-driven access to embedded information, usually displayed as an overlay with text and simple graphics, yet doable as a full screen or "page" of text and graphics. (Those outside the US may think of enhanced TV as refined teletext.) Enhanced content in an analog or digital signal sits waiting to be accessed by viewers, so a return path is not needed. Key vendors in this space include Wink, Worldgate, WebTV, Open TV, and Liberate.

Individualized TV -- Modifying a program to match your individual desires includes changing camera angles at will and calling up instant replays in sports and live news, guiding the plot in dramas and comedies, having the TV host respond to your answers on a game show. As with enhanced TV, individualized TV content was first developed one-way broadcasting, but now can be two-way. The technology first came from ACTV, but now OpenTV is playing.

Personal TV -- This is the term coined for the personal video recorder (PVR) that records programming by title, timeslot, rating, actors, or theme. With full VCR functionality, the PVR can pause during a broadcast as content is cached on the disk, plus an ability to skip over commercials. If the PVR has a return path, it can support pay-per-view billing. Once a hard disk is full, the PVR records over older content. A replacable hard disk, like a video casette, is expected one day. Leading vendors are TiVo and Replay; others include Echostar, WebTV and Pace.

Internet TV -- All the functionality of the Internet, especially Web browsing and email, can be delivered to a TV screen. The visual quality of text is poorer on analogue than digital (video lines vs. pixels). If a phoneline is used for the return path, Internet access is temporarilly suspended for incoming calls. Key players in this market are WebTV, Worldgate and Liberate.

On-Demand TV -- Any kind of programming can be offered on-demand, from movies to news. A video file servers plays back content on request within a digital two-way system. Ideal for pay-per-view services, content can be seen whenever viewers wish. No more "appointment TV" schedules. Many see video-on-demand (VOD) as the "killer application" for interactive TV. Major vendors include DIVA, Concurrent, Oracle/Liberate, and Seachange.

Play TV -- Interactive video games on television encompass both single and multiplayer competitions. The Sega Channel was one example, with games downloaded over cable to the Sega player device at home. Another example is the NTN system, where bars and lounges nationwide compete head to head. Look for this to become a major factor in iTV popularity within 3-5 years.

Banking & Retail TV -- All the electronic banking and e-commerce applications on the Internet are being ported to the television. Interactive advertsing will allow viewers to request e-mail brochures and actually order products on screen. The broad range of shopping services eventually amy eclipse VOD as the killer app. Look to QVC and the Home Shopping Channel to lead here.

Educational TV -- All the forms of interactive TV described above can be applied to educational services for every grade level, preschool to univesity. Distance learning for lifelong learners will reach new heights. Cable in the Classroom leads here, yet the Educational Satellite Consortium is a major player, too.

Community TV -- Interactive TV lends itself to local community involvement, everything from town council meetings to electronic voting to interactive Welcome Wagon services. Also, just as the Interent is host to evolving "virtual communities" of shared interest among scattered people, we will see the same on iTV with the additiona of two-way video telephony to the mix. Look for the phone companies and IP cable telephony to promote such services.

Global TV -- As the network builds out globally, look for increasing on-demand access to international programming with automated language translations. In a decade, we will see iTV come into its own as a mass medium for local-to-global cultural exchange.

Given these differnt types of current and pending iTV activities, television content production companies have many options ahead. Think stategically about branding and fresh distribution channels. To see what's ahead, go study the SkyDigital "Open..." service in the UK and the Canal+ Media Highway deployments in Europe.

The key to success is having versitile interactive TV production facilities with full access to broadband distribution networks. For this reason, conglomerates like AOL-Time Warner are being formed. Hollywood studios controlling both iTV content production and distribution, in effect, are both the goose and the golden egg.
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Numbers Tell the Story

The numbers explain why the media is getting so excited about iTV.

In the UK alone, NewsCorp's BskyB has deployed 2.6 million SkyDigital set-top boxes from Pace in the UK. Among these SkyDigital households, Millward Brown reported that 45 percent of those with a Pace digital box have used the "Open..." interactive service from OpenTV at least once.

Also in the UK, Cable & Wireless has deployed more than 60,000 digital Pace boxes enabled for interactive cable services using the Liberate ITV system based on Internet standards.

The ONdigital interactive terrestrial service in the UK has 552,000 Pace boxes in homes, using the Canal+ MediaHighway and MediaGuard CA systems for free and pay iTV services.

Across the Channel, Canal+ leads the world with more than 4 million iTV subscribers among its 13 million digital satellite and cable customers across western Europe. Add in the UK numbers and that's conservatively six million actual iTV users in Europe.

"Over the next five years", said Andrew Wallace, vp global marketing for Pace Micro Technology in the UK, world's largest set-top box manufacturer, "as the digital box becomes the home networking terminal, we will see interactive TV penetration in Europe grow from today's 15 to 20 percent to 60 percent and eventually 90 percent penetration".

For a domestic comparison, according to the Consumer Electronics Manufacturers Association, about 200,000 DTV products (set-top boxes or integrated receivers) have been sold within the U.S. since 1998. Of these, 17 percent or 34,000 units are capable of receiving ATSC terrestrial broadcasts, and most of these HDTV products -- 24,000 units -- were sold in 1999. Analysts expect digital terrestrial penetration to reach 50 percent of all homes no earlier than 2006.

Meanwhile, the U.S. cable industry, with 68 million households subscribing to cable, had about 5 million digital customers at the end of 1999 with projections for 10 million homes by the end of 2000 and 40 million homes by 2006. What may delay this grow is that the rollout of interactive TV services keeps being delayed by the ongoing development of a standardized OpenCable platform, so a box bought in one American city will work equally well in any other U.S. city.

In the digital broadcast satellite (DBS) ballgame, GM/Hughes' DirecTV reports about 7.5 million customers. Echostar's Dish Network reports almost 4 million subscribers today, but those numbers will bounce up after they launch interactive OpenTV services later this year. DirecTV is still planning its iTV play.

There are other TV competitors emerging that are converting their analog customers to digital services. The SMATV (satellite master antenna television) services have 1.4 million customers. The MMDS "wireless cable" industry has almost a million video customers. And local telephone companies have about 400,000 customers receiving multichannel video over copper wires using ADSL (asynchronous digitial subscriber line) services.

"The growth in the UK and Europe is because there are so many competitors in the interactive TV space," said Wallace. "For there to be the same explosive growth in the United States, you'll need more competition from television operators on every platform -- terrestrial, cable, satellite, wireless, and phoneline. That's the real key to success." end

.MVPD

U.S. Multichannel Video Program Distributors (MVPD)

. PLATFORM

Subscribers
(In Millions)
Percent of
MVPD Market


. Cable

. DBS (Satellite)

. C-Band (Satellite)

. MMDS (Wireless Cable)

. SMATV
. (Satellite Master
. Antenna Television)

. Local Telephone
. Companies (A/VDSL)

68.14

11.40

1.68

0.90.

1.40
.
. ..

0.40

81.20%

13.58%

2.00%

1.07%.

1.67%
..
. ..
.

0.48%


. Total U.S.
. Subscribers

83.92
100.00%


Sources: NCTA, Paul Kagan Associates, A.C. Nielsen,
Cable Program Investor, SkyREPORT, CableWorld
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Extra Extra!
First Published in EXTRA EXTRA at NATPE 2000.
Revised
(c) 2000 by Ken Freed
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