If
the American cable industry now fears competition from
DBS, digital broadcast satellite industry plans for
interactive broadband services may feel downright
terrifying.
DBS services today
have about 12 million subscribers in the U.S.
direct-to-home market. Cable claimed about six million
digital cable households at the end of the first quarter,
and the NCTA predicts 10 million digital subs by the end
of 2000. NCTA reports that digital satellite presently
gain five new U.S. customers for every one new digital
cable customer. SkyReport
predicts about 25 million DBS households by
2007.
The picture for
American DBS is not entirely rosy. Lawsuits between
DirecTV and Echostar contend sly and perhaps illegal
marketplace infringements. Foremost among the charges are
recent allegations that DirecTV essentially bribed
retailers into removing Echostar's Dish Network satellite
receivers from store shelves. Also, there are disputes
between DBS companies and SBCA, the Satellite Broadcast
Communication Association, the trade organization that's
supposed to represent them in Washington.
Despite internal
DBS politics, as American cable keeps delaying the
national rollout of interactive TV (iTV) while the
OpenCable box evolves, American DBS is already
interactive. Just like satellite operators beat cable and
terrestrial TV operators onto the "level playing field"
in the UK and western Europe, American DBS players are
seeking market share ahead of cable.
OpenTV on
Dish Network
Interactive DBS
historians may mark 1 May 2000, the day Echostar's
Dish
Network
launched initial OpenTV
services, backed by a free equipment offer. Charlie
Ergen's Denver company, which competes worldwide with
Pace as a satellite set-top manufacturer, is telling U.S.
retailers to expect full rollout of OpenTV this summer
for all 20-inch Dish 500 DVB reception systems,
Already operating
are the OpenTV interactive program guide (IPG) and
interactive weather. "You can press a couple buttons and
get your current weather conditions with a five-day local
forecast," said Doug McGary, director of interactive
services at Echostar in Denver. Initial services do not
yet need the Dish 500's phoneline return path, but this
will soon change. "We'll announce more interactive
services as we go along."
Echostar is
offering an introductory special of a free Open-TV
compatible 20-inch "Dish 500" receiver system with a
phoneline return. Until expiration, the offer is good
upon presentation to any participating Dish Network
dealer of a current cable bill, plus your one-year
commitment to credit charges for Dish programming at
$39.95 a month. Non cable subscribers can apply for a
rebate. Echostar receivers not supporting the Open TV
service (so far) include the WebTV box, the Echostar PVR
box with a hard disk, and the recently released Dish 6000
HDTV box. Porting OpenTV to any set-top box is
technically doable if the business case
merits.
Any Dish 500
receiver lets viewers see local channels. For $5 a month
and an FCC
waiver, under the Satellite Home Viewers' Act, DBS
customers may be authorized to decode the local ABC, CBS,
NBC and Fox affiliate signals for the 28 U.S, markets now
being embedded in the broadcast datastream. Add a dollar
more to get PBS. The WB and UPN networks are available on
superstations. Local TV access varies in each new market
the FCC authorizes for "local into local" satellite
broadcasts. This "solution" evolved after the FCC ordered
DBS to stop the unregulated carriage of broadcast
networks via superstations. DBS was bypassing the local
network affiliates' advertising, costing them revenues,
so the FCC called a halt. From the instant the network
channels went dark, customer outcry was deafening.
DirecTV
Faces Fresh Players
Playing catch up
with Echostar in the iTV game is market leader
DirecTV
and one-way DirecPC, part of Hughes, part of General
Motors. In affiliation with AOL Time Warner, DirecTV
plans to launch AOL-TV multimedia services by mid-2001.
According to Hughes
Network Systems vp Dave Raymond, the AOL-TV box with a
phoneline return will use the Liberate
ATVEF middleware, Microsoft friendly, to support a TiVo
PVR hard drive for basic video-on-demand, Wink
e-commerce, walled-garden AOL web browsing and email
using a wireless keyboard, NTSC-ATSC off-air reception,
and an interactive guide with picture-in-picture screen
control. Prices will range from $29 to $129 per
month.
"We can't sit idly
by and rest on our laurels," said Global DirecTV chair
Eddy Hartenstein at the 7th annual Denver
DBS Summit.
"We've tried before to do too much too quickly, and I've
taken calls myself when our customers suffered [e.g.,
the shutoff of broadcast network superstations].
We've now hired 5,000 customer service representatives
where before we had 800. We've all been taught a more
important lesson. A small change in our business that
affects our customers can bring us to our knees if we are
not careful. We can't take anything for granted any
more."
DirecTV must
compete with independent Echostar, yet now both ventures
face competition from three more entrants into the U.S.
digital satellite marketplace, the third being the most
significant.
First is a
direct-to-home (DTH) service from AT&T HITS, the
"headend in the sky" built by TCI, which gave up its
PrimeStar DBS operation for the AT&T
merger, leaving DirecTV and Dish bidding for former
PrimeStar customers. Announced in May at the NCTA show,
the HITS2HOME
service targets cable operators with rural and town
systems too small for affordably upgrading the plant for
digital HITS feeds. They can add about 140 channels of
digital programming to their analog service without
buying new headend equipment, rebuilding the network or
using any plant bandwidth.
HITS2HOME digital
signals are received by the cable customers directly on a
home satellite dish. The digital and analog signals are
integrated in a dual-source set-top receiver being
manufactured by venture partner Motorola,
which recently acquired the legendary cable vendor
General Instrument, producer of the digital headend
equipment on which HITS runs. A proprietary AT&T
interactive program guide seamlessly lists channels for
both analog and digital services. Local operators can
brand the service with their own logo.
Cable systems in 39
markets have already launched HITS2HOME during
beta-testing. Now the national marketing begins. As HITS
adds interactivity into its cable headend feeds over the
next year or two, the iTV services from AT&T likely
will become available to HITS2HOME subscribers.
Essentially, the cable giant again is in the DBS game,
but now with a new face and form, playing only with the
grace of the FCC. Monopoly ploys will be
opposed.
A second new player
is BellSouth,
which in May announced a new DBS venture
with
GE Americom,
owned by General Electric, which owns NBC. Marketed to 14
million TV households in BellSouth's telecom service
area, the regional DBS service may expand into the
neighboring regions, conceivably reaching 50 million
homes. Telco entry into DBS builds upon existing telecom
interests in "wireless cable" (MMDS) data and video
ventures. DBS insiders voice their doubts that the
regional telephone operating company understands the
satellite business well enough to survive. Time will
tell, Bell.
Both HITS2HOME and
BellSouth DBS are backed by substantive empires, and they
will influence market development. But the third new
player on the list, despite underfunding, is the one to
watch.
Two-way
Broadband DBS
An upstart startup
by old hands in the space bird business,
iSKY
in Denver plans to launch two-way Ka-band satellite
services by 2002. Starting with broadband Internet before
moving into interactive TV, iSKY is planning to
deploy three satellites covering North, Central and South
America. Global reach is contemplated.
At higher
frequencies than the Ku-band now employed by DBS, Ka-band
systems theoretically can support full broadband Internet
access, full-function VOD, enhanced and individualized
programs, all e-commerce (or "T-commerce"), even
multiplayer games, doing this despite the latency lags
that may always inhibits IP telephony on DBS. Two-way
Ka-Band positions DBS in the same league as digital
cable, which holds onto a thin lead in signal response
time.
The FCC has
assigned to iSKY the Ka-band spectrum from 20 to
30 GHz as a fixed-satellite service (FSS) licensed for
the orbital locations of 73 degree west longitude and
109.2 degree west longitude. iSKY has an exclusive
license for commercial Ka-band capacity on the TeleSat
ANIK F2 satellite at 111.1 degrees west longitude. Loral
Space Systems is the prime satellite contractor for
construction of iSKY's first Ka-band satellite.
Once all three
Ka-band birds are orbiting above the Americas,
iSKY's spotbeam satellites will interact with
clusters of home transceiver dishes within a 400 mile
footprint per beam, that radius adjustable. iSKY's
rectangular 26-inch dishes will have double or triple
LMBs at the apex for linkages with multiple satellites
through a DOCSIS modem in the set-top box.
Founded as Ka-Star
in April 1995 by chairman David Drucker, who helped found
Echostar and then negotiated the licensing and launching
of Echostar I, the young company became iSKY after
a NewsCorp investment. President and CEO is Thomas Moore,
earlier the vp at CableLabs in Colorado responsible
for DOCSIS development. Serving as vp of technology is
Robert Luly, the visionary satellite communication
systems designer.
iSKY's
minority investors include NewsCorp
via TV
Guide,
AT&T via Liberty
Media,
Kleiner
Perkins,
TRW,
and others, their investment amounts undisclosed.
Echostar alone reported its play, paying $50 million for
a 12 percent stake, indicating iSKY's valuation.
According to business development vp Brad Greenwald,
iSKY thus far has raised half of the $750 million
needed to start North American Ka-band interactive
services.
Observed Bob Luly
at the 2000 DBS Summit in May, "Even without inroads into
digital video services, we can see a U.S. market for
Ka-band Internet services of 25 to 30 million customers.
We feel there are enough customers out there among the
'information have-nots' for iSKY to become a force in the
marketplace."
When iSKY enters
the interactive TV business, public demand for 2-way Ka
services may grow. Down the road, DirecTV and Dish
Network also are expected to launch Ka-band bidirectional
satellites for Internet and interactive TV services. As a
string of Ka-band birds circle the world, how will
digital cable compete?
Quality customer
service may well be the deciding factor.
"Whether you're
talking about cable, satellite, terrestrial, ADSL, MMDS,
or any other platform," warned Carmel
Group
president Jimmy Schaeffer, "your competitors will walk
all over you unless you learn how to make interactive TV
work for you."
.